Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000224 0.000250 0.000278 0.000311 0.000347 0.000386 0.000432
2025-01-26 0.000184 0.000220 0.000260 0.000310 0.000368 0.000436 0.000521
2025-02-02 0.000164 0.000207 0.000259 0.000325 0.000409 0.000511 0.000644
2025-02-09 0.000145 0.000192 0.000251 0.000331 0.000437 0.000572 0.000759
2025-02-16 0.000129 0.000178 0.000243 0.000335 0.000462 0.000631 0.000876
2025-02-23 0.000114 0.000164 0.000233 0.000334 0.000480 0.000682 0.000986
2025-03-02 0.000101 0.000151 0.000221 0.000329 0.000489 0.000721 0.001082
2025-03-09 0.000091 0.000140 0.000213 0.000327 0.000504 0.000767 0.001191
2025-03-16 0.000083 0.000132 0.000206 0.000327 0.000520 0.000817 0.001311
2025-03-23 0.000076 0.000125 0.000201 0.000329 0.000538 0.000870 0.001440
2025-03-30 0.000070 0.000118 0.000194 0.000327 0.000550 0.000914 0.001557
2025-04-06 0.000065 0.000112 0.000190 0.000328 0.000567 0.000967 0.001693
2025-04-13 0.000060 0.000107 0.000186 0.000330 0.000588 0.001031 0.001857
2025-04-20 0.000055 0.000100 0.000179 0.000326 0.000597 0.001075 0.001993
2025-04-27 0.000053 0.000099 0.000182 0.000341 0.000640 0.001184 0.002257
2025-05-04 0.000050 0.000096 0.000180 0.000346 0.000666 0.001264 0.002475
2025-05-11 0.000047 0.000092 0.000177 0.000349 0.000691 0.001342 0.002696
2025-05-18 0.000043 0.000088 0.000173 0.000349 0.000706 0.001404 0.002892
2025-05-25 0.000040 0.000082 0.000166 0.000342 0.000709 0.001444 0.003046
2025-06-01 0.000037 0.000078 0.000161 0.000341 0.000722 0.001502 0.003243
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000075 0.000158 0.000341 0.000738 0.001570 0.003467
2025-06-15 0.000033 0.000073 0.000155 0.000342 0.000757 0.001645 0.003714
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000069 0.000151 0.000340 0.000768 0.001703 0.003928